Update February 2014: Seems I was dead wrong. Original article
      
      published below.
     
     It is a few days before president-elect Jacob Zuma is sworn
     
     into office. His journey thus far has been colourful to say the least and
     
     whatever criticism he may attract, you have to give him 10 out of 10 for
     
     tenacity and dogged determination. Much has been written about how the country
     
     is on an irretrievable descent into darkness and oblivion. Similarities have
     
     been drawn between Zuma and Robert Mugabe implying South Africa, with Zuma at
     
     the helm, is on track for a Zimbabwe scenario. Judging by the number of
     
     international movers packing containers in the leafy suburbs of Cape Town, it
     
     seems a lot of white people believe the talk of our imminent demise spoken so
     
     persuasively around the braai on a Saturday afternoon. Helen Zille’s hysteria
     
     around stopping our new president, the incessant SMS messages urging me to
     
     sign up on websites and follow her on Twitter got me thinking that I’ve seen
     
     all of this madness before. It seems some South African white people are
     
     sceptics and cynical by nature and hate the thought of change. David Bullard
     
     wrote in a recent column that these people “wake each morning snarling with
     
     anger, fire off a few spiteful comments on internet sites from behind the
     
     safety of a pseudonym and go about their miserable lives consumed by envy and
     
     hatred”. I think they will change their minds. Change, according to Kurt
     
     Lewin, takes place in three stages. Unfreezing, moving to a new state and
     
     refreezing. Unfreezing is a particularly traumatic experience for some. There
     
     is resistance to embrace the new as it implies that current beliefs need to be
     
     given up as invalid. Often this brings on defensiveness, anger, hostility and
     
     struggle. But we’ve been through all this before. Cast your mind back to 1985.
     
     State of emergency. PW’s wagging finger telling us to “adapt or die”.
     
     Thousands of civilian soldiers in army camps. Unrest at university campuses.
     
     Troops in the townships. Sanctions. A country divided in every way on race.
     
     
      Tutu
     
     Then picture a little black man who in a Ghandi-like way used to walk
     
     in front of throngs of toyi-toying protestors. Giving speeches and handing
     
     over demands for change. Using his position as the Archbishop of Cape Town to
     
     lead and advocate the end of apartheid. Those who spent any time around whites
     
     will remember the venom and hatred poured onto this “monkey”, who was leading
     
     the defiance campaign to the then “whites only” beaches. To intimidate him
     
     somebody hung an ape foetus in the garden of his Bishopscourt home which was
     
     also the target of a graffiti attack stating “I was an Anglican until I put
     
     Tu+Tu together”. Imagine how strongly somebody felt about him that they would
     
     invest time and energy in doing these things. Reconcile that with the love
     
     many of these same white South Africans now pour on “The Arch” as he is
     
     affectionately called. The cynical whites changed.
     
      Mandela
     
     I remember the
     
     front page of the
     
      Cape Times
     
     splashing the headline that Nelson Mandela was
     
     going to nationalise the mines and other major industries. Talk amongst whites
     
     was that the country would go like every other African country, it was just a
     
     matter of time. If he even got into power. Word around the white dinner tables
     
     was that Mandela would be killed by tribal factions vying for power. As
     
     Mandela became president and the country generally prospered, the cynical
     
     whites changed once again. You’ll be hard-pressed to find anyone in the
     
     country who doesn’t have a kind word to say about Madiba as he is
     
     affectionately referred to today. In fact, so much so, that there are no
     
     critics. We all loved Madiba and what he stood for. Always. Didn’t we?
     
      The
      
      Flag, Nkosi Sikelel’ iAfrika and Sport
     
     When initially unveiled our new flag
     
     was hardly embraced. Rugby stadiums were still filled with the old flag while
     
     the new took years to be accepted. Stadiums would bellow out the Afrikaans “
     
     
      Uit die blou
     
     …” while the same supporters mumbled their way through
     
      Nkosi
     
     .
     
     This is now changing as white school children learn
     
      Nkosi Sikelel’
     
     and their
     
     white parents feel proud to sing along. Eventually change happens despite the
     
     resistance.
     
      Elections 1994
     
     OK own up, did you buy candles and tinned food
     
     for your pantry in case the whole country fell apart around our first
     
     democratic elections? Did you think you should have? Did you at least talk
     
     about it? Remember the hysteria, the predictions about doom and gloom and how
     
     it was the beginning of the end. And then all of a sudden, nothing happened.
     
     Except the political violence subsided and we moved into our mostly peaceful
     
     new era where the economy took off, we won the world cup and the country
     
     generally prospered. Certainly more peaceful and prosperous than the pre-1994
     
     years. Certainly a better outlook than 10 years earlier. So why is it that
     
     some whites are so paranoid and cynical about our new president? I wonder what
     
     could belie the anger and the hatred? I’ve heard people who I regard as very
     
     intelligent and very worldly wise declare that they will leave the country if
     
     Zuma becomes president. Such decisiveness based on what? “He’s corrupt and
     
     he’s a rapist,” they say. Makhaya Ntini and Zuma — both accused of rape. Ntini
     
     was convicted, appealed and then acquitted. Zuma wasn’t even convicted. Why do
     
     we hate the one and love the other, holding him up as a national hero, or at
     
     least when he gets wickets. In 2008 the world’s economic system hit the wall
     
     and there is ample evidence to show that some of the people who have benefited
     
     the most were at best corrupt and in many cases were outright criminals. While
     
     the collapse has actually affected investments in this country and directly
     
     impacted individuals’ pockets, there is relatively little abuse for the
     
     masterminds behind the collapse. Even Arthur Brown, infamous for his Fidentia
     
     scandal, doesn’t attract anywhere near the level of negative attention rained
     
     down on Zuma. When you place Zuma’s corruption allegations, and the fact that
     
     he hasn’t ever been found guilty, against this picture, they pale into
     
     insignificance. Do you have friends who get away with not paying all of their
     
     taxes? Do we get as emotional about the unfairness of that? “But he has to
     
     have a high moral ethic to be the leader of our land,” you say. Really? Since
     
     when did we hold politicians to those standards. Certainly not in the South
     
     African governments pre 1994. Hennie van Vuuren’s report in May 2006 entitled
     
     Apartheid Grand Corruption details in its more than 90 pages just how corrupt
     
     the government was. Internationally, George Bush — jobs for friends — Dick
     
     Cheney — Halliburton. Bill Clinton lying to the country about his sexual
     
     affairs. Colin Powell and Tony Blair lying about weapons of mass destruction
     
     so as to have a reason to kill soldiers and civilians in Iraq and control
     
     their oil. The leaders of the free world? Certainly not moral leaders. In
     
     considering my own view of Zuma, I look at two sources of information. The
     
     first is the reported view in our media, which is the loudest and occupies the
     
     most mindshare. The second, is first-hand accounts of interacting directly
     
     with the man, which, although I haven’t myself had the experience, I have only
     
     heard positive accounts from those that have. Of the two, I trust the second a
     
     lot more than the first for the simple reason that individuals are more
     
     motivated to tell the truth when recounting an experience than a media
     
     organisation, which has shareholders, headlines, sales and subscriptions
     
     sitting higher on the list of priorities than telling a story accurately or
     
     thoroughly. When we look at Mandela, Tutu, the flag, the 1994 elections we as
     
     whites mostly predicted things dead wrong. And I think we’ve got Zuma dead
     
     wrong too. My predication is that JZ will far exceed our expectations, which
     
     for some are admittedly low. We’ll come to love his machine gun song
     
      Umshini
      
      Wami,
     
     which will become a signature South Africanism like the All Blacks have
     
     the Haka. His engagement with people and real issues will warm our hearts. The
     
     story of his life, from herd boy to president, will become a symbol of hope
     
     for the people who to date have not had role models they could follow. Instead
     
     of defending the current status quo we will defend his Africanism, his
     
     costumes and his traditions — showing instead our finger to the world saying —
     
     this is the way we do it in South Africa — it’s different not wrong. I have
     
     great faith in our ability as a nation to adapt. Unlike PW Botha who proposed
     
     that the only other option was to die, I believe we will just adapt some more.
     
     We’ve done it before and we’ll do it again. What you look for you will see. I
     
     believe that we have been influenced to look only at what is wrong with Zuma.
     
     Once he is in power and serving as our president, we will be able to judge him
     
     on what he achieves. This is much more tangible than how he has been judged to
     
     date. I’m hopeful and confident that we will be surprised. Like previous
     
     change, which we have first feared and then accepted, JZ too will eventually
     
     be loved by the cynical whites.
    
Dead wrong about Zuma
2009-05-07
